Skip to content

Central Bank

43 ARTICLES

S&P 500 Futures Stall Under the Moving-Average Ceiling: Can ES Break 7,770 With Jobs Data and Iran on Deck?

S&P 500 Futures Stall Under the Moving-Average Ceiling: Can ES Break 7,770 With Jobs Data and Iran on Deck?

S&P 500 futures stall near 7,770 as elevated Treasury yields weigh on mega-caps, keeping key support at 7,745 under test ahead of JOLTS jobs data and Fed speeches

Yields Win Again as the 10-Year Holds Above 5.2%: Can Nasdaq Futures Defend 30,400 Into PCE?

Yields Win Again as the 10-Year Holds Above 5.2%: Can Nasdaq Futures Defend 30,400 Into PCE?

US stocks closed lower as 10-year Treasury yields held above 5.2%, though reports of potential US-Iran sanctions relief helped indices recover off session lows ahead of PCE data

Gold Slides 3% Losing Its August Floor. Is $4,100 the Next Stop?

Gold Slides 3% Losing Its August Floor. Is $4,100 the Next Stop?

Spot gold plunged below $4,200 to test $4,150 as rate hike bets and a firm US dollar overpowered Middle East geopolitical risks, putting key support at $4,100 in sight

Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 as the Dow Heads for a Fourth Losing Week: Which Setup Holds Up Into the Open?

Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 as the Dow Heads for a Fourth Losing Week: Which Setup Holds Up Into the Open?

Nasdaq 100 futures press toward 31,000 while Dow futures bounce in a downtrend, as 10-year Treasury yields hold above 5.2% ahead of key US economic data.

Gold Price Update: Price Touches $4,244/oz, Are Bears Finally In Control?

Gold Price Update: Price Touches $4,244/oz, Are Bears Finally In Control?

Gold falls near $4,262 as surging Treasury yields and a firm U.S. dollar push prices toward key wedge support between $4,200 and $4,240

S&P 500 Futures Sit on the 7,700 Floor: Bounce Zone or Breakdown Point?

S&P 500 Futures Sit on the 7,700 Floor: Bounce Zone or Breakdown Point?

S&P 500 futures trade near 7,730 as 10-year Treasury yields reach 5.13%, leaving key support at 7,700 under test ahead of the U.S. open

Bitcoin Loses $85,000 as Rate-Hike Bets Bite: Breather or Bigger Pullback Into Friday’s $16 Billion Expiry?

Bitcoin Loses $85,000 as Rate-Hike Bets Bite: Breather or Bigger Pullback Into Friday’s $16 Billion Expiry?

Bitcoin has fallen below $85,000 as rate-hike expectations weigh on crypto markets, leaving key ETF support at $82,000 ahead of Friday's $16B options expiry

Global Debt Tops $365 Trillion With No Crisis in Sight. What Happens When the Bill Comes Due?

Global Debt Tops $365 Trillion With No Crisis in Sight. What Happens When the Bill Comes Due?

Global debt reached a record $365 trillion in H1 2026, driven by government borrowing in the US and China, as refinancing costs rise without a central crisis triggering the surge.

One Chart, One Fed Meeting, One AI Earnings: What's Next for NQ After Its Record Rally

One Chart, One Fed Meeting, One AI Earnings: What's Next for NQ After Its Record Rally

A technical level, an earnings print and a policy signal all landing in the same window. That’s what makes the near term more consequential for the NQ than the record high itself.

Gold Slips Under $4,320 as the Dollar Nears 101: Is Gold's Bullish Breakout Now at Risk?

Gold Slips Under $4,320 as the Dollar Nears 101: Is Gold's Bullish Breakout Now at Risk?

Gold trades near $4,315 as a surging U.S. dollar and hawkish Fed outweigh falling oil prices, leaving key support at $4,290 under pressure ahead of U.S. PMI

Nasdaq Breaches 31,000 as Oil Slides Again. Can Iran Hopes Carry Stocks Into the Trump–Xi Summit?

Nasdaq Breaches 31,000 as Oil Slides Again. Can Iran Hopes Carry Stocks Into the Trump–Xi Summit?

The Nasdaq closed at a record as chip stocks rallied and oil fell for a fifth day on hopes of a US-Iran deal. But the Fed is still hiking. Here's what it means for NQ and CL.

Richmond Fed’s Barkin Says Sticky Inflation Could Force the Central Bank Into  Additional Rate Hikes

Richmond Fed’s Barkin Says Sticky Inflation Could Force the Central Bank Into Additional Rate Hikes

A Fed official says persistent inflation and resilient demand could keep the Fed focused on restrictive policy, leaving further rate hikes possible and markets exposed to higher-for-longer rates.

Hawkish Fed, Hot Middle East, Higher Dollar: Does DXY Break 101 Next?

Hawkish Fed, Hot Middle East, Higher Dollar: Does DXY Break 101 Next?

Driven by a hawkish Fed and Middle East geopolitical risks, the US Dollar Index has reclaimed 100.00, forming a double bottom pattern targeting 100.617 and beyond. How far can the rally go?

Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 After Its Best Day Since August. Breakout Continuation, or an Overbought Reset?

Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 After Its Best Day Since August. Breakout Continuation, or an Overbought Reset?

An AI-led surge drove the Nasdaq higher, and NQ is testing 31,000. But H4 momentum is overbought while smart-money positioning turns bullish. Continuation, or time for a pullback?

Nasdaq Rockets to a Record as Oil Sinks. Does the Nasdaq Breach 31,000, or Fade Into Thursday’s Summit?

Nasdaq Rockets to a Record as Oil Sinks. Does the Nasdaq Breach 31,000, or Fade Into Thursday’s Summit?

The Nasdaq surged 2.8% to record highs near 30,786 as falling oil and a chip rally boosted risk appetite. Overbought conditions may test NQ's ability to defend 30,000.

Geopolitics Is Back, Dollar Takes the Haven Bid. Does Gold’s Triangle Breakout Still Hold?

Geopolitics Is Back, Dollar Takes the Haven Bid. Does Gold’s Triangle Breakout Still Hold?

Spot gold fell 0.8% near $4,340 as geopolitical concerns return. Bulls remain in control but $4,400 resistance needs to be cleared for the rally to continue.

Dollar Above 100, Gold Pinned Below $4,400: What the Post-Fed Hangover Week Sets Up

Dollar Above 100, Gold Pinned Below $4,400: What the Post-Fed Hangover Week Sets Up

Three major central banks tightened last week and the dollar broke above 100. With little US data due, Fed speakers and Wednesday's flash PMIs take over and gold is pressing a key wall near $4,400.

Oil Slipped Under $100: Does the Bounce Reclaim the Wall, or Break Below $95 Next Week?

Oil Slipped Under $100: Does the Bounce Reclaim the Wall, or Break Below $95 Next Week?

Oil has slipped below $100 after Saudi pipeline strikes, but hawkish Fed policy is capping gains. Here is the weekend technical outlook with key support at $95 and resistance at $100.

Kansas City Fed's Schmid Backs Rate Hike, Says Inflation Remains His Primary Concern

Kansas City Fed's Schmid Backs Rate Hike, Says Inflation Remains His Primary Concern

Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid backed Wednesday’s rate hike, saying inflation remains his primary concern, while highlighting FedNow and instant payments as increasingly important to community banks.

Nasdaq Reclaims 29,800 and Eyes 30,000: Does the Round Number Cap the Run, or Confirm the Breakout?

Nasdaq Reclaims 29,800 and Eyes 30,000: Does the Round Number Cap the Run, or Confirm the Breakout?

Nasdaq 100 futures have climbed back above 29,800 and are pressing the 30,000 round number into the US session. The trend is up, but a tiring momentum signal says the first test may not break clean.

Bank of Japan Raises Rates to 31-Year High, Signals Further Tightening

Bank of Japan Raises Rates to 31-Year High, Signals Further Tightening

The BoJ reiterated its intention to continue raising the policy rate and adjusting the degree of monetary accommodation in response to economic activity, prices and financial conditions.

Nasdaq Leads the Bounce as Falling Yields and Oil Turn Fed-Day Pain Into Relief

Nasdaq Leads the Bounce as Falling Yields and Oil Turn Fed-Day Pain Into Relief

Wall Street rebounded as falling Treasury yields and softer oil lifted tech stocks, sending the Nasdaq up 1.39%. Attention now turns to the Bank of Japan and the 29,800 NQ resistance level.

DXY’s Break Above 100 Is Just One Candle Deep: Can Bulls Hold?

DXY’s Break Above 100 Is Just One Candle Deep: Can Bulls Hold?

The 100 level now becomes important from a technical perspective. A sustained hold above it would provide evidence that the breakout is gaining acceptance rather than simply reflecting the immediate post-Fed surge.

Bitcoin Took the Fed’s Hike and Held $75K, So Why Won’t the ETF Money Come Back?

Bitcoin Took the Fed’s Hike and Held $75K, So Why Won’t the ETF Money Come Back?

Bitcoin defended $75K after a hawkish Fed hike, yet heavy ETF outflows leave the rebound underfunded. Resistance at $76,843 may decide whether BTC targets $80K or retests support.

S&P Leads, Dow Bleeds. Is the Relief Rally Already Rolling Over?

S&P Leads, Dow Bleeds. Is the Relief Rally Already Rolling Over?

S&P 500 and Dow futures gave back early gains after the Fed, with tech supporting ES while YM lagged. Here are the technical levels and scenarios that could shape the rest of the US session.

Gold’s H4 Triangle After the Fed Hike: Which Way Does the Squeeze Break?

Gold’s H4 Triangle After the Fed Hike: Which Way Does the Squeeze Break?

Gold’s post-Fed rebound is stalling near $4,320 as price tightens inside an H4 triangle. Here are the breakout signals, support zones and scenarios traders should watch into the BoJ decision.

Fed Delivers the Expected Quarter-Point Hike as Inflation Return to 2% Is Pushed to 2029

Fed Delivers the Expected Quarter-Point Hike as Inflation Return to 2% Is Pushed to 2029

The Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023 as inflation pressures persisted, while resilient growth and new policy language raised questions over whether further tightening will follow.

Split Screen Into the Fed: Why the S&P Is Holding and the Dow Isn’t

Split Screen Into the Fed: Why the S&P Is Holding and the Dow Isn’t

ES is testing resistance while YM sinks to fresh lows ahead of the FOMC decision. Here’s what the divergence means, the levels that matter and how traders can approach the split.

Nasdaq Coils Heading Into the US Open, Retail Sales Ahead of FOMC

Nasdaq Coils Heading Into the US Open, Retail Sales Ahead of FOMC

Today runs in two acts: a morning of US data topped by August retail sales, then a 2pm Fed decision markets have ~93% priced as a hike. NQ is coiling under resistance, waiting on the dots.

Fed’s 25bps Hike Is Priced In, but Warsh’s Next-Move Signal Could Shake Stocks: Strategists

Fed’s 25bps Hike Is Priced In, but Warsh’s Next-Move Signal Could Shake Stocks: Strategists

Market strategists see sticky inflation supporting further tightening, while JPMorgan scenarios show the S&P 500 could swing sharply depending on Treasury-market and policy guidance.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Shrugged Off a Dead Crypto Bill as $70K Level Comes Into View

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Shrugged Off a Dead Crypto Bill as $70K Level Comes Into View

Bitcoin barely reacted to the CLARITY Act’s defeat, but the Fed poses a bigger threat. With yields near 5% and $75K support under pressure, the next FOMC decision could set the market’s direction.

Market Update: Bonds Break, Oil Breaks Out & Dow Slips 400 Points

Market Update: Bonds Break, Oil Breaks Out & Dow Slips 400 Points

Markets are under pressure as surging bond yields and oil prices fuel inflation fears. Dow slips 400 points with equities facing a real test.

FOMC Preview: The First Hike in Three Years Is Priced. Which Way Do ES and NQ Break From the Dots?

FOMC Preview: The First Hike in Three Years Is Priced. Which Way Do ES and NQ Break From the Dots?

A fully priced Fed hike shifts focus to the dot plot and Kevin Warsh’s tone. ES and NQ are coiled at key levels, with Wednesday’s guidance likely to decide the breakout.

Is 100 in Sight for DXY as Fed Rate-Hike Bets Surge to 92%?

Is 100 in Sight for DXY as Fed Rate-Hike Bets Surge to 92%?

The dollar approaches a key resistance zone as Treasury yields climb and traders price a Fed hike. Policy guidance, projections and rate expectations could determine whether DXY extends its rebound.

10-Year Yield Hits Stock Warning Threshold as FOMC Looms: Is the S&P 500 Rally Set to Stall?

10-Year Yield Hits Stock Warning Threshold as FOMC Looms: Is the S&P 500 Rally Set to Stall?

U.S. Treasury yields above 5% are challenging elevated S&P 500 valuations, while rising oil prices and the upcoming FOMC decision add further risks for equities.

Gold (XAU/USD): A Five-Week Low, a Bullish Divergence, and a Fed Decision. What Breaks First?

Gold (XAU/USD): A Five-Week Low, a Bullish Divergence, and a Fed Decision. What Breaks First?

XAU/USD hit a five-week low ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. Across the H4, H1 and M15 charts, a clear downtrend runs into a three-timeframe bullish divergence. What breaks first?

If AI Capex Slows, Silver Has a Demand Problem Gold Doesn’t

If AI Capex Slows, Silver Has a Demand Problem Gold Doesn’t

Silver faces a risk gold largely avoids: slowing AI investment could weaken one of its fastest-growing industrial demand sources.

Gold's Pre-FOMC Slide Shows the Hike Is Now Priced In: What Happens Now?

Gold's Pre-FOMC Slide Shows the Hike Is Now Priced In: What Happens Now?

Gold faces a pivotal Fed meeting as markets price a September hike, with rising yields, oil and dollar strength pressuring prices. Traders now watch $4,300 support and positioning.

Can Stocks Keep Ignoring a 5% Discount Rate?

Can Stocks Keep Ignoring a 5% Discount Rate?

With Treasury yields nearing 5% and the AI growth narrative wobbling, the S&P 500 faces a double valuation squeeze. Here’s what it means for ES traders into the Fed.

Stocks Snap a Four-Day Slide as Oil Cools but an 86% Hike Bet Loads a Pivotal Fed Week

Stocks Snap a Four-Day Slide as Oil Cools but an 86% Hike Bet Loads a Pivotal Fed Week

Wall Street snapped a four-day slide as crude retreated, even as firm core inflation pushed Fed hike odds to 86%. Here’s what the rebound means for a pivotal central-bank week.

S&P 500 Snaps a 4-Day Slide Despite Hot CPI Data: Here's What it Means for Next Week's Fed Decision

S&P 500 Snaps a 4-Day Slide Despite Hot CPI Data: Here's What it Means for Next Week's Fed Decision

Resilient consumer demand, elevated oil prices and sticky services inflation could limit the Fed’s flexibility, while strong earnings and AI investment may help equities absorb tighter financial conditions.

The Downtrend Line Just Broke on the CPI Bounce. Does Nasdaq's Retest Hold or Fail?

The Downtrend Line Just Broke on the CPI Bounce. Does Nasdaq's Retest Hold or Fail?

Nasdaq 100 futures broke a week-long downtrend after CPI, reclaiming VWAP and the 200-period average. Key levels will decide whether the retest holds into the weekend.

Gold Spiked on the Very Print It Was Meant to Fear. Will Bulls Breach $4400/oz and Gain Acceptance?

Gold Spiked on the Very Print It Was Meant to Fear. Will Bulls Breach $4400/oz and Gain Acceptance?

Gold’s post-CPI surge eased rate fears, yet resistance near $4,400 and next week’s Fed decision leave the rebound vulnerable. Here are the key levels and scenarios to watch.