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25 ARTICLES

S&P 500 Futures Stall Under the Moving-Average Ceiling: Can ES Break 7,770 With Jobs Data and Iran on Deck?

S&P 500 Futures Stall Under the Moving-Average Ceiling: Can ES Break 7,770 With Jobs Data and Iran on Deck?

S&P 500 futures stall near 7,770 as elevated Treasury yields weigh on mega-caps, keeping key support at 7,745 under test ahead of JOLTS jobs data and Fed speeches

Yields Win Again as the 10-Year Holds Above 5.2%: Can Nasdaq Futures Defend 30,400 Into PCE?

Yields Win Again as the 10-Year Holds Above 5.2%: Can Nasdaq Futures Defend 30,400 Into PCE?

US stocks closed lower as 10-year Treasury yields held above 5.2%, though reports of potential US-Iran sanctions relief helped indices recover off session lows ahead of PCE data

Weekend Gap Watch: Iran’s Peace Plan, Houthi Strikes and a Diesel Ban Threat Put Sunday’s Oil Open at Risk

Weekend Gap Watch: Iran’s Peace Plan, Houthi Strikes and a Diesel Ban Threat Put Sunday’s Oil Open at Risk

WTI crude futures hold near $94 as US-Iran diplomacy, Houthi strikes, and diesel export ban talk leave Sunday's reopen vulnerable to a market gap

Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 as the Dow Heads for a Fourth Losing Week: Which Setup Holds Up Into the Open?

Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 as the Dow Heads for a Fourth Losing Week: Which Setup Holds Up Into the Open?

Nasdaq 100 futures press toward 31,000 while Dow futures bounce in a downtrend, as 10-year Treasury yields hold above 5.2% ahead of key US economic data.

Hormuz Hopes vs. a 22-Year High in the 30-Year: Can Stocks Keep Shrugging Off the Bond Market?

Hormuz Hopes vs. a 22-Year High in the 30-Year: Can Stocks Keep Shrugging Off the Bond Market?

US stocks recovered from session lows to finish flat as reports of a US-Iran deal offset surging Treasury yields, with the 30-year yield touching a 22-year high.

Bitcoin Loses $85,000 as Rate-Hike Bets Bite: Breather or Bigger Pullback Into Friday’s $16 Billion Expiry?

Bitcoin Loses $85,000 as Rate-Hike Bets Bite: Breather or Bigger Pullback Into Friday’s $16 Billion Expiry?

Bitcoin has fallen below $85,000 as rate-hike expectations weigh on crypto markets, leaving key ETF support at $82,000 ahead of Friday's $16B options expiry

Global Debt Tops $365 Trillion With No Crisis in Sight. What Happens When the Bill Comes Due?

Global Debt Tops $365 Trillion With No Crisis in Sight. What Happens When the Bill Comes Due?

Global debt reached a record $365 trillion in H1 2026, driven by government borrowing in the US and China, as refinancing costs rise without a central crisis triggering the surge.

Nasdaq Breaches 31,000 as Oil Slides Again. Can Iran Hopes Carry Stocks Into the Trump–Xi Summit?

Nasdaq Breaches 31,000 as Oil Slides Again. Can Iran Hopes Carry Stocks Into the Trump–Xi Summit?

The Nasdaq closed at a record as chip stocks rallied and oil fell for a fifth day on hopes of a US-Iran deal. But the Fed is still hiking. Here's what it means for NQ and CL.

Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 After Its Best Day Since August. Breakout Continuation, or an Overbought Reset?

Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 After Its Best Day Since August. Breakout Continuation, or an Overbought Reset?

An AI-led surge drove the Nasdaq higher, and NQ is testing 31,000. But H4 momentum is overbought while smart-money positioning turns bullish. Continuation, or time for a pullback?

Nasdaq Rockets to a Record as Oil Sinks. Does the Nasdaq Breach 31,000, or Fade Into Thursday’s Summit?

Nasdaq Rockets to a Record as Oil Sinks. Does the Nasdaq Breach 31,000, or Fade Into Thursday’s Summit?

The Nasdaq surged 2.8% to record highs near 30,786 as falling oil and a chip rally boosted risk appetite. Overbought conditions may test NQ's ability to defend 30,000.

The Tariff-Truce Clock Is Ticking: Does the Trump–Xi Summit Hand Index Futures a Green Light or a Bear Trap?

The Tariff-Truce Clock Is Ticking: Does the Trump–Xi Summit Hand Index Futures a Green Light or a Bear Trap?

President Trump hosts Xi Jinping to negotiate extending the Nov. 10 tariff truce. With index futures bid at the start of the week, will Thursday's summit hand markets a green light or set up a bear trap?

Dollar Above 100, Gold Pinned Below $4,400: What the Post-Fed Hangover Week Sets Up

Dollar Above 100, Gold Pinned Below $4,400: What the Post-Fed Hangover Week Sets Up

Three major central banks tightened last week and the dollar broke above 100. With little US data due, Fed speakers and Wednesday's flash PMIs take over and gold is pressing a key wall near $4,400.

Nasdaq Leads the Bounce as Falling Yields and Oil Turn Fed-Day Pain Into Relief

Nasdaq Leads the Bounce as Falling Yields and Oil Turn Fed-Day Pain Into Relief

Wall Street rebounded as falling Treasury yields and softer oil lifted tech stocks, sending the Nasdaq up 1.39%. Attention now turns to the Bank of Japan and the 29,800 NQ resistance level.

S&P Leads, Dow Bleeds. Is the Relief Rally Already Rolling Over?

S&P Leads, Dow Bleeds. Is the Relief Rally Already Rolling Over?

S&P 500 and Dow futures gave back early gains after the Fed, with tech supporting ES while YM lagged. Here are the technical levels and scenarios that could shape the rest of the US session.

Split Screen Into the Fed: Why the S&P Is Holding and the Dow Isn’t

Split Screen Into the Fed: Why the S&P Is Holding and the Dow Isn’t

ES is testing resistance while YM sinks to fresh lows ahead of the FOMC decision. Here’s what the divergence means, the levels that matter and how traders can approach the split.

US Retail Sales Soar Past Estimates in August, but Fed Decision and Warsh Guidance Take Center Stage

US Retail Sales Soar Past Estimates in August, but Fed Decision and Warsh Guidance Take Center Stage

US retail sales rebounded sharply in August, signaling resilient consumer demand, but sticky inflation, surging energy prices and higher Treasury yields leave markets focused on Wednesday’s Fed decision.

Nasdaq Coils Heading Into the US Open, Retail Sales Ahead of FOMC

Nasdaq Coils Heading Into the US Open, Retail Sales Ahead of FOMC

Today runs in two acts: a morning of US data topped by August retail sales, then a 2pm Fed decision markets have ~93% priced as a hike. NQ is coiling under resistance, waiting on the dots.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Shrugged Off a Dead Crypto Bill as $70K Level Comes Into View

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Shrugged Off a Dead Crypto Bill as $70K Level Comes Into View

Bitcoin barely reacted to the CLARITY Act’s defeat, but the Fed poses a bigger threat. With yields near 5% and $75K support under pressure, the next FOMC decision could set the market’s direction.

FOMC Preview: The First Hike in Three Years Is Priced. Which Way Do ES and NQ Break From the Dots?

FOMC Preview: The First Hike in Three Years Is Priced. Which Way Do ES and NQ Break From the Dots?

A fully priced Fed hike shifts focus to the dot plot and Kevin Warsh’s tone. ES and NQ are coiled at key levels, with Wednesday’s guidance likely to decide the breakout.

Gold (XAU/USD): A Five-Week Low, a Bullish Divergence, and a Fed Decision. What Breaks First?

Gold (XAU/USD): A Five-Week Low, a Bullish Divergence, and a Fed Decision. What Breaks First?

XAU/USD hit a five-week low ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. Across the H4, H1 and M15 charts, a clear downtrend runs into a three-timeframe bullish divergence. What breaks first?

Semiconductors Drag Wall Street Lower as AI-Slowdown Jitters and $105 Oil Meet a Live Fed - US Session Wrap

Semiconductors Drag Wall Street Lower as AI-Slowdown Jitters and $105 Oil Meet a Live Fed - US Session Wrap

All three major US averages closed lower on Monday as a sharp chip sell-off, a fresh oil spike, and 10-year yields near 5% left the S&P 500 coiling just below its moving averages just 48 hours before a Fed decision the market thinks is a rate hike.

Nasdaq Midday Update: A V-Shaped Snapback Off 29,000 Runs Into a Wall of Moving Averages

Nasdaq Midday Update: A V-Shaped Snapback Off 29,000 Runs Into a Wall of Moving Averages

Nasdaq 100 futures dumped on the AI-slowdown headlines, then ripped straight back as traders faded the doom. Here is the technical map into the US afternoon.

Can Stocks Keep Ignoring a 5% Discount Rate?

Can Stocks Keep Ignoring a 5% Discount Rate?

With Treasury yields nearing 5% and the AI growth narrative wobbling, the S&P 500 faces a double valuation squeeze. Here’s what it means for ES traders into the Fed.

Stocks Snap a Four-Day Slide as Oil Cools but an 86% Hike Bet Loads a Pivotal Fed Week

Stocks Snap a Four-Day Slide as Oil Cools but an 86% Hike Bet Loads a Pivotal Fed Week

Wall Street snapped a four-day slide as crude retreated, even as firm core inflation pushed Fed hike odds to 86%. Here’s what the rebound means for a pivotal central-bank week.

Gold Spiked on the Very Print It Was Meant to Fear. Will Bulls Breach $4400/oz and Gain Acceptance?

Gold Spiked on the Very Print It Was Meant to Fear. Will Bulls Breach $4400/oz and Gain Acceptance?

Gold’s post-CPI surge eased rate fears, yet resistance near $4,400 and next week’s Fed decision leave the rebound vulnerable. Here are the key levels and scenarios to watch.