Geopolitics
28 ARTICLES
Oil Whipsaws as China Fuel Export Halt Lifts Brent Back to $100 Even With Saudi Supply Returning
Traders are likely to watch physical fuel availability, refinery utilization, Saudi export flows and the duration of China's restrictions for clues about whether Brent can sustain its return toward $100.
A Near $13 Gap Between Brent and WTI: What It Tells CL Traders About Where the Risk Sits
The Brent-WTI spread widened to $13 as seaborne Brent carries war risks while WTI faces domestic policy pressures and rising freight costs
US and China Name $60 Billion in Tariff Cuts. So Why Are Soybean Futures Falling?
Soybean futures continue to fall as China leaves the crop off its $30B tariff cut list under the new US-China '30-for-30' deal, keeping an extra 10% tariff in place
Dow Futures Slip Back Under Their Moving Averages as Oil Tops $108: Is This Just Another Lower High?
Dow futures are lower before Monday's open after President Trump rejected Iran's peace proposal, sending oil and yields higher. Across the H4, H1 and M15 charts, Friday's bounce has stalled under key moving averages, and 51,800 is the line to watch.
Gold Slides 3% Losing Its August Floor. Is $4,100 the Next Stop?
Spot gold plunged below $4,200 to test $4,150 as rate hike bets and a firm US dollar overpowered Middle East geopolitical risks, putting key support at $4,100 in sight
Weekend Gap Watch: Iran’s Peace Plan, Houthi Strikes and a Diesel Ban Threat Put Sunday’s Oil Open at Risk
WTI crude futures hold near $94 as US-Iran diplomacy, Houthi strikes, and diesel export ban talk leave Sunday's reopen vulnerable to a market gap
Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 as the Dow Heads for a Fourth Losing Week: Which Setup Holds Up Into the Open?
Nasdaq 100 futures press toward 31,000 while Dow futures bounce in a downtrend, as 10-year Treasury yields hold above 5.2% ahead of key US economic data.
US Stock Futures Advance Ahead of NYSE Open as Yields Hover Near Multi-Year Highs; Durable Goods Orders In Focus
Traders brace for August durable goods orders and Fed speakers after Nikkei extends gains; DAX and CAC lead European bounce
Hormuz Hopes vs. a 22-Year High in the 30-Year: Can Stocks Keep Shrugging Off the Bond Market?
US stocks recovered from session lows to finish flat as reports of a US-Iran deal offset surging Treasury yields, with the 30-year yield touching a 22-year high.
Crude Under $95, Diesel Stays Elevated: The Refining Bottleneck Behind Fuel Prices
Diesel prices remain near record levels despite crude falling below $100 as Russian and Middle Eastern refinery disruptions tighten global supplies, sustain elevated margins and keep U.S. barrels in demand.
Hormuz Deal Hopes Lift Markets: Nasdaq Jumps 250 Points, Gold Pops $30. Can the Relief Last?
Reports of a phased US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz sparked a market rally, sending the Nasdaq up 250 points and gold surging $30 as inflation fears eased.
Long Dow futures, Short NQ? A Relative Value Trade as Trump, Xi Meet
Traders may face divergent reactions across U.S. equity futures as tariff, technology, rare-earth and AI discussions intersect with elevated Treasury yields, creating distinct catalysts for industrial and technology-heavy indexes.
Bitcoin Loses $85,000 as Rate-Hike Bets Bite: Breather or Bigger Pullback Into Friday’s $16 Billion Expiry?
Bitcoin has fallen below $85,000 as rate-hike expectations weigh on crypto markets, leaving key ETF support at $82,000 ahead of Friday's $16B options expiry
Gold Slips Under $4,320 as the Dollar Nears 101: Is Gold's Bullish Breakout Now at Risk?
Gold trades near $4,315 as a surging U.S. dollar and hawkish Fed outweigh falling oil prices, leaving key support at $4,290 under pressure ahead of U.S. PMI
Nasdaq Breaches 31,000 as Oil Slides Again. Can Iran Hopes Carry Stocks Into the Trump–Xi Summit?
The Nasdaq closed at a record as chip stocks rallied and oil fell for a fifth day on hopes of a US-Iran deal. But the Fed is still hiking. Here's what it means for NQ and CL.
Hawkish Fed, Hot Middle East, Higher Dollar: Does DXY Break 101 Next?
Driven by a hawkish Fed and Middle East geopolitical risks, the US Dollar Index has reclaimed 100.00, forming a double bottom pattern targeting 100.617 and beyond. How far can the rally go?
Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 After Its Best Day Since August. Breakout Continuation, or an Overbought Reset?
An AI-led surge drove the Nasdaq higher, and NQ is testing 31,000. But H4 momentum is overbought while smart-money positioning turns bullish. Continuation, or time for a pullback?
Nasdaq Rockets to a Record as Oil Sinks. Does the Nasdaq Breach 31,000, or Fade Into Thursday’s Summit?
The Nasdaq surged 2.8% to record highs near 30,786 as falling oil and a chip rally boosted risk appetite. Overbought conditions may test NQ's ability to defend 30,000.
Crude Tumbles 4% as Bears Seize Control; Break Below Key Support Risks Deeper Losses
With crude having rallied sharply into last week's high, traders who bought into the geopolitical surge now face increasing pressure to protect profits as the risk premium fades.
The Tariff-Truce Clock Is Ticking: Does the Trump–Xi Summit Hand Index Futures a Green Light or a Bear Trap?
President Trump hosts Xi Jinping to negotiate extending the Nov. 10 tariff truce. With index futures bid at the start of the week, will Thursday's summit hand markets a green light or set up a bear trap?
Geopolitics Is Back, Dollar Takes the Haven Bid. Does Gold’s Triangle Breakout Still Hold?
Spot gold fell 0.8% near $4,340 as geopolitical concerns return. Bulls remain in control but $4,400 resistance needs to be cleared for the rally to continue.
Dollar Above 100, Gold Pinned Below $4,400: What the Post-Fed Hangover Week Sets Up
Three major central banks tightened last week and the dollar broke above 100. With little US data due, Fed speakers and Wednesday's flash PMIs take over and gold is pressing a key wall near $4,400.
Oil Slipped Under $100: Does the Bounce Reclaim the Wall, or Break Below $95 Next Week?
Oil has slipped below $100 after Saudi pipeline strikes, but hawkish Fed policy is capping gains. Here is the weekend technical outlook with key support at $95 and resistance at $100.
Nasdaq Leads the Bounce as Falling Yields and Oil Turn Fed-Day Pain Into Relief
Wall Street rebounded as falling Treasury yields and softer oil lifted tech stocks, sending the Nasdaq up 1.39%. Attention now turns to the Bank of Japan and the 29,800 NQ resistance level.
Nasdaq Coils Heading Into the US Open, Retail Sales Ahead of FOMC
Today runs in two acts: a morning of US data topped by August retail sales, then a 2pm Fed decision markets have ~93% priced as a hike. NQ is coiling under resistance, waiting on the dots.
Gold (XAU/USD): A Five-Week Low, a Bullish Divergence, and a Fed Decision. What Breaks First?
XAU/USD hit a five-week low ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. Across the H4, H1 and M15 charts, a clear downtrend runs into a three-timeframe bullish divergence. What breaks first?
Stocks Snap a Four-Day Slide as Oil Cools but an 86% Hike Bet Loads a Pivotal Fed Week
Wall Street snapped a four-day slide as crude retreated, even as firm core inflation pushed Fed hike odds to 86%. Here’s what the rebound means for a pivotal central-bank week.
Gold Spiked on the Very Print It Was Meant to Fear. Will Bulls Breach $4400/oz and Gain Acceptance?
Gold’s post-CPI surge eased rate fears, yet resistance near $4,400 and next week’s Fed decision leave the rebound vulnerable. Here are the key levels and scenarios to watch.