Macro & Other Data
40 ARTICLES
Nasdaq Futures Rally After PCE and ADP: Can Micron’s Q4 Print Catalyze a Move Past 31K?
Micron's Q4 results could determine whether Nasdaq futures can turn that push provided by the PCE data into a more durable breakout.
US August PCE Cools More Than Expected as ADP Hiring Rebounds, Complicating Fed Rate Outlook
A softer-than-expected PCE reading offers relief on inflation, but a rebound in private hiring keeps the Federal Reserve's policy path complicated.
S&P 500 Futures Stall Under the Moving-Average Ceiling: Can ES Break 7,770 With Jobs Data and Iran on Deck?
S&P 500 futures stall near 7,770 as elevated Treasury yields weigh on mega-caps, keeping key support at 7,745 under test ahead of JOLTS jobs data and Fed speeches
A Near $13 Gap Between Brent and WTI: What It Tells CL Traders About Where the Risk Sits
The Brent-WTI spread widened to $13 as seaborne Brent carries war risks while WTI faces domestic policy pressures and rising freight costs
Yields Win Again as the 10-Year Holds Above 5.2%: Can Nasdaq Futures Defend 30,400 Into PCE?
US stocks closed lower as 10-year Treasury yields held above 5.2%, though reports of potential US-Iran sanctions relief helped indices recover off session lows ahead of PCE data
Dow Futures Slip Back Under Their Moving Averages as Oil Tops $108: Is This Just Another Lower High?
Dow futures are lower before Monday's open after President Trump rejected Iran's peace proposal, sending oil and yields higher. Across the H4, H1 and M15 charts, Friday's bounce has stalled under key moving averages, and 51,800 is the line to watch.
Gold Slides 3% Losing Its August Floor. Is $4,100 the Next Stop?
Spot gold plunged below $4,200 to test $4,150 as rate hike bets and a firm US dollar overpowered Middle East geopolitical risks, putting key support at $4,100 in sight
Weekend Gap Watch: Iran’s Peace Plan, Houthi Strikes and a Diesel Ban Threat Put Sunday’s Oil Open at Risk
WTI crude futures hold near $94 as US-Iran diplomacy, Houthi strikes, and diesel export ban talk leave Sunday's reopen vulnerable to a market gap
US Consumer Outlook Weakens as Inflation Expectations Climb, Durable-Goods Demand Stays Firm
Friday's Main Street data created a mixed growth-inflation picture with implications for Fed policy, Treasury yields and markets.
DXY Rally Stalls at 101: Can Durable Goods Orders Give the Dollar Fresh Momentum?
The dollar's rebound is losing momentum near 101 after a hawkish Fed repricing lifted yields and rate expectations. Durable goods orders could determine whether the rally extends or stalls.
Hormuz Hopes vs. a 22-Year High in the 30-Year: Can Stocks Keep Shrugging Off the Bond Market?
US stocks recovered from session lows to finish flat as reports of a US-Iran deal offset surging Treasury yields, with the 30-year yield touching a 22-year high.
Bitcoin Loses $85,000 as Rate-Hike Bets Bite: Breather or Bigger Pullback Into Friday’s $16 Billion Expiry?
Bitcoin has fallen below $85,000 as rate-hike expectations weigh on crypto markets, leaving key ETF support at $82,000 ahead of Friday's $16B options expiry
Global Debt Tops $365 Trillion With No Crisis in Sight. What Happens When the Bill Comes Due?
Global debt reached a record $365 trillion in H1 2026, driven by government borrowing in the US and China, as refinancing costs rise without a central crisis triggering the surge.
US Private Sector Hits High Gear But Pricing Power Puts Fed in a Bind
Barring the spike in demand following the opening up of the economy after the COVID-19 lockdowns, the latest improvement in business activity is the greatest recorded since early 2015
Gold Slips Under $4,320 as the Dollar Nears 101: Is Gold's Bullish Breakout Now at Risk?
Gold trades near $4,315 as a surging U.S. dollar and hawkish Fed outweigh falling oil prices, leaving key support at $4,290 under pressure ahead of U.S. PMI
Nasdaq Breaches 31,000 as Oil Slides Again. Can Iran Hopes Carry Stocks Into the Trump–Xi Summit?
The Nasdaq closed at a record as chip stocks rallied and oil fell for a fifth day on hopes of a US-Iran deal. But the Fed is still hiking. Here's what it means for NQ and CL.
Hawkish Fed, Hot Middle East, Higher Dollar: Does DXY Break 101 Next?
Driven by a hawkish Fed and Middle East geopolitical risks, the US Dollar Index has reclaimed 100.00, forming a double bottom pattern targeting 100.617 and beyond. How far can the rally go?
Nasdaq Knocks on 31,000 After Its Best Day Since August. Breakout Continuation, or an Overbought Reset?
An AI-led surge drove the Nasdaq higher, and NQ is testing 31,000. But H4 momentum is overbought while smart-money positioning turns bullish. Continuation, or time for a pullback?
Nasdaq Rockets to a Record as Oil Sinks. Does the Nasdaq Breach 31,000, or Fade Into Thursday’s Summit?
The Nasdaq surged 2.8% to record highs near 30,786 as falling oil and a chip rally boosted risk appetite. Overbought conditions may test NQ's ability to defend 30,000.
The Tariff-Truce Clock Is Ticking: Does the Trump–Xi Summit Hand Index Futures a Green Light or a Bear Trap?
President Trump hosts Xi Jinping to negotiate extending the Nov. 10 tariff truce. With index futures bid at the start of the week, will Thursday's summit hand markets a green light or set up a bear trap?
Geopolitics Is Back, Dollar Takes the Haven Bid. Does Gold’s Triangle Breakout Still Hold?
Spot gold fell 0.8% near $4,340 as geopolitical concerns return. Bulls remain in control but $4,400 resistance needs to be cleared for the rally to continue.
Dollar Above 100, Gold Pinned Below $4,400: What the Post-Fed Hangover Week Sets Up
Three major central banks tightened last week and the dollar broke above 100. With little US data due, Fed speakers and Wednesday's flash PMIs take over and gold is pressing a key wall near $4,400.
Oil Slipped Under $100: Does the Bounce Reclaim the Wall, or Break Below $95 Next Week?
Oil has slipped below $100 after Saudi pipeline strikes, but hawkish Fed policy is capping gains. Here is the weekend technical outlook with key support at $95 and resistance at $100.
Nasdaq Reclaims 29,800 and Eyes 30,000: Does the Round Number Cap the Run, or Confirm the Breakout?
Nasdaq 100 futures have climbed back above 29,800 and are pressing the 30,000 round number into the US session. The trend is up, but a tiring momentum signal says the first test may not break clean.
Nasdaq Leads the Bounce as Falling Yields and Oil Turn Fed-Day Pain Into Relief
Wall Street rebounded as falling Treasury yields and softer oil lifted tech stocks, sending the Nasdaq up 1.39%. Attention now turns to the Bank of Japan and the 29,800 NQ resistance level.
Bitcoin Took the Fed’s Hike and Held $75K, So Why Won’t the ETF Money Come Back?
Bitcoin defended $75K after a hawkish Fed hike, yet heavy ETF outflows leave the rebound underfunded. Resistance at $76,843 may decide whether BTC targets $80K or retests support.
S&P Leads, Dow Bleeds. Is the Relief Rally Already Rolling Over?
S&P 500 and Dow futures gave back early gains after the Fed, with tech supporting ES while YM lagged. Here are the technical levels and scenarios that could shape the rest of the US session.
US Economy Shows Resilience as Jobless Claims Fall, Philadelphia Manufacturing Expands, But Inflation Complicates Fed Outlook
Taken together, the three reports released Thursday morning suggest an economy that has not lost significant momentum, but is becoming increasingly uneven.
Gold’s H4 Triangle After the Fed Hike: Which Way Does the Squeeze Break?
Gold’s post-Fed rebound is stalling near $4,320 as price tightens inside an H4 triangle. Here are the breakout signals, support zones and scenarios traders should watch into the BoJ decision.
US Retail Sales Soar Past Estimates in August, but Fed Decision and Warsh Guidance Take Center Stage
US retail sales rebounded sharply in August, signaling resilient consumer demand, but sticky inflation, surging energy prices and higher Treasury yields leave markets focused on Wednesday’s Fed decision.
Nasdaq Coils Heading Into the US Open, Retail Sales Ahead of FOMC
Today runs in two acts: a morning of US data topped by August retail sales, then a 2pm Fed decision markets have ~93% priced as a hike. NQ is coiling under resistance, waiting on the dots.
Market Update: Bonds Break, Oil Breaks Out & Dow Slips 400 Points
Markets are under pressure as surging bond yields and oil prices fuel inflation fears. Dow slips 400 points with equities facing a real test.
FOMC Preview: The First Hike in Three Years Is Priced. Which Way Do ES and NQ Break From the Dots?
A fully priced Fed hike shifts focus to the dot plot and Kevin Warsh’s tone. ES and NQ are coiled at key levels, with Wednesday’s guidance likely to decide the breakout.
Gold (XAU/USD): A Five-Week Low, a Bullish Divergence, and a Fed Decision. What Breaks First?
XAU/USD hit a five-week low ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. Across the H4, H1 and M15 charts, a clear downtrend runs into a three-timeframe bullish divergence. What breaks first?
If AI Capex Slows, Silver Has a Demand Problem Gold Doesn’t
Silver faces a risk gold largely avoids: slowing AI investment could weaken one of its fastest-growing industrial demand sources.
Gold's Pre-FOMC Slide Shows the Hike Is Now Priced In: What Happens Now?
Gold faces a pivotal Fed meeting as markets price a September hike, with rising yields, oil and dollar strength pressuring prices. Traders now watch $4,300 support and positioning.
Can Stocks Keep Ignoring a 5% Discount Rate?
With Treasury yields nearing 5% and the AI growth narrative wobbling, the S&P 500 faces a double valuation squeeze. Here’s what it means for ES traders into the Fed.
Stocks Snap a Four-Day Slide as Oil Cools but an 86% Hike Bet Loads a Pivotal Fed Week
Wall Street snapped a four-day slide as crude retreated, even as firm core inflation pushed Fed hike odds to 86%. Here’s what the rebound means for a pivotal central-bank week.
The Downtrend Line Just Broke on the CPI Bounce. Does Nasdaq's Retest Hold or Fail?
Nasdaq 100 futures broke a week-long downtrend after CPI, reclaiming VWAP and the 200-period average. Key levels will decide whether the retest holds into the weekend.
Gold Spiked on the Very Print It Was Meant to Fear. Will Bulls Breach $4400/oz and Gain Acceptance?
Gold’s post-CPI surge eased rate fears, yet resistance near $4,400 and next week’s Fed decision leave the rebound vulnerable. Here are the key levels and scenarios to watch.